📏 Form Guide

Neftçi

DWDWWW 📈

Neftçi, buoyed by their previous result, will be hoping for more of the same after a 1-3 Premyer Liqasi victory against Kəpəz.

The only player to score from Neftçi was Bassala Sambou (27', 38'). Rauf Elxan Hüseynli (35') was the scorer for Kəpəz.

Their more recent scorelines highlight the fact that things are going according to plan in the Neftçi rearguard. Neftçi have been mean at the back, seeing the number of goals that have gone in at their end over the course of their past six outings standing at 4. We will find out if that trend can be continued on here.

Looking at the pre-match facts, Neftçi:

• have left without a victory over Qarabağ when playing them at home in the previous 8 league matches. A really barren run.
• are winless against Qarabağ in their last 17 matches in the league. What a terrible run without a win that has been.
• have not been beaten in their last 3 home league matches.

Qarabağ

LLWWWL

Since a losing effort in their last game against Newcastle United in Champions League competition, Qarabağ will be aiming to make amends here.

In that match, Qarabağ managed 42% possession and 8 attempts at goal with 2 on target. The only player on the scoresheet for Qarabağ was Elvin Cəfərquliyev (54'). Newcastle United had 22 shots at goal with 14 of them on target. Anthony Gordon (3', 32', 33', 45'), Malick Thiaw (8') and Jacob Murphy (72') scored for Newcastle United.

Indicating their penchant for action-packed matches, goals have been celebrated 20 times in the prior six matches in which Qarabağ have taken to the pitch, yielding an average of 3.33 goals each fixture. Opposing teams have got 15 of these goals.

👥 Head to head

A study of past results between these clubs going back to 04/05/2024 reveals that these fixtures have not been fruitful for Neftçi. They have not managed to register any wins whatsoever whereas Qarabağ have dominated them, finishing as winners in 100% of those matches played.

A combined sum of 18 goals were produced between them in this period, with 0 from Neftçilər and 18 netted by Atlılar. That’s an average goals per game figure of 3.

The last league fixture between these clubs was Premyer Liqasi match day 11 on 09/11/2025 which ended up with the score at Qarabağ 2-0 Neftçi.

🧠 Prediction

We’re of the opinion that Neftçi will have to play well to break down this Qarabağ side who we think will likely win and very possibly keep a clean sheet.

We therefore think that it’s going to be a very even contest with a 0-1 winning margin for Qarabağ at the end of this one.

We’ll see what happens.

Peter Guest, 14:16 21/02/2026