Scottish Championship BTTS Stats: Clubs, Seasons and Fair Odds

I watched the Scottish Championship from Abu Dhabi, usually late in the evening, and learned not to expect order from it. My question is simple: how often do both teams score, which clubs push that number up or down, and when in the match do the goals arrive? The sample is 3,671 completed league matches from 2005/06-2025/26.

The headline answer is very close to even. Both teams scored in 50.9% of matches, which converts to fair odds of 1.97 for BTTS Yes and 2.04 for No. That near-even split sits behind every pick for this division on my free BTTS tips page, and it means any edge comes from the details rather than the base rate.

§ 1BTTS swings sharply by season but barely drifts overall

The line chart tracks the BTTS Yes share for each season. The peak came in 2011/12 at 58.3% and the low in 2024/25 at 43.4%. The latest complete campaign, 2025/26, finished at 48.3% across 180 matches.

Those swings look dramatic, but the first five seasons averaged 49.9% and the last five 49.3%, a change of −0.6 points. This is my main caveat: a small division produces noisy seasons. 2019/20 and 2020/21 were shortened, and 2024/25 is only partly covered with 159 matches.

So I anchor on the long-run 50.9% and treat a hot or cold season as variance until it proves otherwise. A single campaign is rarely a new era for this league.

§ 2Partick Thistle and Morton lead while Hamilton sit lowest

The table shows the top and bottom of the 13 clubs with 100 or more matches between 2016/17 and 2025/26. Over that window BTTS landed in 50.5% of 1,691 matches. Partick Thistle top it at 55.8% of 240 matches, fair odds 1.79, with Morton next at 54.7%. At the other end, Hamilton sit on 44.2% of 104 matches, fair odds 2.26, and Raith Rovers on 45.0%.

I spend most of my time on the home and away columns. Partick Thistle were 58.3% away against 53.3% at home, so their matches tend to open up when they travel. Raith Rovers show the sharpest split in the table, 52.9% at home but 37.0% away, and Dundee United follow the same pattern at 55.8% and 40.7%.

Morton are the steadiest side here, at 54.7% at home and 54.8% away. Differences of a few points between clubs can come from chance alone, so I read this table as a lean rather than a fixed ranking.

§ 3Most BTTS results in this league need the second half

The bars split the full-time rate by half. First-half BTTS landed in 18.0% of matches and second-half BTTS in 25.1%. Both teams scored in both halves in only 4.6%.

Put another way, 35.3% of BTTS Yes results were already settled at the break, while 64.7% needed a goal after it.

This is where game state matters to me. A side that trails at half-time in this division usually has to chase, and that chase leaves space at the other end. Many matches only become BTTS through that dynamic after the interval.

§ 4One-one and narrow wins show where BTTS lives

The heatmap places every score by home goals and away goals. Anything off the top row and left column is a BTTS Yes result. The most common BTTS score is 1-1 at 12.1% of all matches, followed by 2-1 at 8.5% and 1-2 at 6.3%.

The No side is just as concentrated. 0-0 accounted for 8.3%, 1-0 for 9.4% and 0-1 for 8.7%. Home wins to nil by two or more made up 13.5% of matches, and away wins to nil by two or more made up 9.1%.

My takeaway is that BTTS in this division usually turns on a single goal, not a shootout. The low-scoring cells around 1-1 are where this market is decided.

Compiled byAmal Haddad

I'm Amal Haddad, based in Abu Dhabi, and I write the both-teams-to-score tips at fixed-match.tips — reading defensive frailty and attacking intent rather than chasing the obvious high-scoring names.

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